Share capital redemption
What's the value of $100m in 25 years?
Setting up the redemption of share capital is very straightforward. So straightforward that we will not follow the customary "assignment/solution" structure.
We're just going to get it done.
The essential requirement is that we pay back whatever share capital is outstanding in the last period of the concession. At this stage, we will wind up the project company.
The ingredients we need are:
- the balance of share capital and
- the last operating / forecast period flag
The accounting will be as follows, where X is the amount of share capital outstanding in the last period (currently $100m but that could change):
- On the asset side of the balance sheet: Cash will reduce by X
- On the liability side of the balance sheet: Share capital outstanding will reduce by X
Before we walk through it, you guessed it; how will this move IRR?
Share capital redemption will return an additional $100m of cash to shareholders. Compared to previous versions of the model, we are now only returning this in the last period of the model. Therefore the IRR must be greater than it currently is (8.47%) but less than before we modelled depreciation (13.48%). And I expect that it will be close to the lower end of that range due to the time value of money and the negative effect of back ending the $100m of cash compared to previous profiles.
Download the start file for this assignment, and let's take a look.
To obtain the worked example file to accompany this chapter buy the financial modelling handbook.
Step 1: Create the calculation block
Create links (Skill 2) to the Share capital beginning balance and the Last forecast period flag.
Step 2: Create the calculation
Incredibly simple: A * B
Step 3: Sign switch
Copy the sign switch from the Tmp sheet or other handy nearby location.
Step 4: Wire it up.
The positive version of share capital goes into the corkscrew as the downward flow. This impacts the liability side of our balance sheet.
The negative version goes on to our cash flow statement. There's a placeholder there for it. This impacts the asset side of our balance sheet (by reducing cash).
Our balance sheet will continue to balance.
Step 5: IRR impact
If you recalculate now, you'll notice that the IRR doesn't change.
We need to also include the $100m into the Equity IRR calculation. We left a placeholder there previously.
Once we wire it in by creating a link, we can see the impact on IRR.
The IRR increases. But not to previous levels due to the time value of money.
Step 6: Section completion checklist.
Don’t forget.
Download the model completed to this point:
To obtain the worked example file to accompany this chapter buy the financial modelling handbook.
Review
We have returned the original investment to shareholders at the end of the 25 years. However, the business is still sitting on a lot of cash:
Depreciation is causing earnings to be lower than cash flow by $1m in every quarter. Over 25 years this is building up to $100m of cash in the bank.
Clearly, this is quite inefficient.
Next, we are going to see if we can get that IRR back up again by introducing some leverage into our capital structure, and reducing the amount of share capital that our intrepid shareholders need to invest.
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